PICKING A WINNER at any point is never an exact science. But given the inconsistency of how the course has played this week -- it played a bit easier in the first and third rounds with 42 and 41 players below par, while the second round yielded just 25 -- you first have to figure out where the winning score might fall. And given that volatility, it could be tough. But let's say it falls somewhere between -12 and -15. In that case, it would bring a lot of those players in the high single digits back into contention.
Hunter Mahan, 16-1. Has made the most birdies this week with 17, but has doubled his bogey total each day -- from one to two to four. If he can hit more greens in reg -- his numbers dropped from 83 per cent to 72 to 56 -- he seems to have a good feel for the greens.
Adam Scott, 22-1. Leading the field in driving accuracy and T3 in greens in reg. He needed 30 putts each of the first two days, but trimmed that to 26 in round three and if he putts like that, he could be right there.
Padraig Harrington, 40-1. Hard to imagine a three-time major champion flying more under the radar than the Irishman. He hasn't made a tonne of birdies -- but his numbers are solid all around, and he's carded only four bogeys.
Martin Kaymer, 100-1. Why not? He's the best player in the world and if the winning number is -12, there could be a 66 or 65 out there for him.
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