DUE TO THE fact that I'm in the process of moving this weekend, it's an abbreviated preview this week. By that, I mean there really won't be much of a preview and just the picks. It happens.
Kevin Na, 40-1. Eventually Na is going to breakthrough and win on the PGA Tour and it could very well be this week. He had back-to-back T5s here recently with a fourth place showing in 2008, followed by a third place finish in 2009.
Brian Gay, 40-1. Reason number one to like Brian Gay this week: his putting (2nd on Tour last year) means he could be a threat any time he tees it up. Reason number two: He's started 2011 in a good way with a T13 and a T5 in his first two starts. And finally, he's had pretty good success at TPC Scottsdale with three straight top-25s from 2007-2009.
Geoff Ogilvy, 40-1. After a finger injury -- on a piece of coral on a Hawaiian beach -- forced Ogilvy to withdraw prior to his defence at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions, he is making his 2011 season debut this week. Call it a gut feel on this one, as the Arizona resident has never produced a finish better than T17 here.
Sean O'Hair, 66-1. The result of O'Hair's 2010, to me, are a little misleading. It's true that he didn't win and slipped from 15th to 43rd in the world, but a further analysis of his year shows something interesting. His result in majors, WGC events and The Players, in order were: T17, T18, T30, T22, T12, T7, 5, Cut. What that says to me is that he's focused a lot of his energy on trying to win the big tournaments. Having said that, much like Ogilvy, I like him this week based purely on gut feel.
Long shot: Rory Sabbatini, 100-1. A lot of gut picks this week. Maybe I'm off a bit with everything else going on, but at the price, certainly worth. Sabbatini hasn't played awful here really, but his best finish is a T12.
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