Geoff Ogilvy, Even. After fading down the stretch in the fourth round of the Waste Management Phoenix Open last week, Ogilvy went from two-under and solidly inside the cut line to even par and taking Sunday off after carding three bogeys and just one birdie in his first nine holes.
Mike Weir, +1. Playing on a medical exemption, it was an important stretch for Weir but -- despite carding his first round in the 60s in his opening round at Spyglass Hill GC -- he now has two missed cuts and a T77 in three starts.
Mark Wilson, +2. It's hard to look at a couple of numbers -- he hit 85 per cent of fairways and 74 per cent of greens in reg in the first three rounds -- and think that he missed the cut. His driving accuracy was better than both his wins and his greens in reg was nearly as good as his total in Hawaii.
Jim Furyk, +4. In 2010 Jim Furyk was the player of the year with three wins while only missing the cut three times. In three starts in 2011, he's missed the cut twice.
Jonathan Byrd, +6. After a win at Kapalua and then a pair of top-40 finishes, Byrd couldn't get anything going with 13 bogeys and only seven birdies.
Jamie Lovemark, WD. It has not been the start that many would have expected for last year's Nationwide Tour player of the year. In five tournaments he has posted the following results: cut, cut, T58, cut and WD. That last one, of course, come after a first round 81 where he carded four bogeys and four double bogeys.
Trunk Slammer of the week
Tim Petrovic, +16. After a so-so round of one-over at Monterey Peninsula CC on Thursday, Petrovic blew up on Friday, opening his round with six bogeys in his first eight holes on his way to an 80. And to add insult to injury he closed his third round at Pebble Beach with by playing the final four holes at eight-over -- with two bogeys, a double bogey and a quadruple bogey.
I'm introducing a new feature this week, the double-dip. Every week I make five picks to win the tournament outright before the tournament begins and I've tweeted out some secondary picks heading into the final round a couple times when the odds have changed, so I figured why not make that a regular feature.
Phil Mickelson, 20-1 and Hunter Mahan, 25-1. Both start five shots back heading into Sunday. Mahan hasn't had much success here in the past -- his two best results were a T14 and a T16 in '06 and '07 -- but he did make his way around Pebble Beach at five-under in his second round. Mickelson, of course, has won here three times before -- in '07, '05 and '98.
And it wouldn't be a true double-dip if I didn't back two of the guys I had before the tournament began.
DA Points, 9-1 and Alex Cejka, 20-1. Cejka began the week with a double-eagle on the tenth hole of Monterey Peninsula CC and could end it in style with a victory. Despite the fact that he couldn't get any consistency going in round three -- with an eagle, four birdies, nine pars, three bogeys and a double bogey -- Points has made 18 birdies this, tied for most in the field. If he keeps gives taking advantage of those opportunities, he will be a factor on Sunday.
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